Monday, August 24, 2009

Daily Commentary

Credit spreads are slightly better this morning as they blindly follow equities. Equities were obviously buoyed by Bernanke saying that the "prospects for growth in the near term were good."

We've seen four straight weeks of declining secondary volumes and this week is unlikely to break that trend. In addition, so far today only 1 smaller issue from Westpac has been announced.

There's likely to be little on the docket this week to drive spreads with the possible exception of the US Treasury auctions of 2 year, 5 year and 7 year bonds. I don't think the folks at treasury are thrilled with the timing of PIMCO's McCulley saying on Bloomberg radio this morning that the "big gains to be made in our lifetime in treasury bonds have been made." (more here).

FT Alphaville pointed out the ECB's lending survey data which shows that lending standards have eased back to the level of mid 2007.

If you're headed to the beach and would like some light reading, here are Bernanke's "Reflections on a Year of Crisis." from the recent central banker boondoggle in Jackson Hole.

The WSJ made reference to a recent S&P report that asserted 75% of all fixed income funds, including 98% of mortgage funds, have underperformed their benchmarks. While this ex-active buysider is certainly biased, the underlying indices in fixed income are very difficult to virtually impossible to actually replicate in the markets.

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